How much longer will ZOG or the American Empire endure?
Is it on the verge of collapse? Will it last for decades? Will it last for centuries? Will it fall apart within our lifetimes? Is the defeat in Afghanistan a recoverable setback like in Vietnam or the beginning of the end? Does it go the way of the Soviet Union or the British Empire or the Roman Empire?
“That cold-eyed view, taken from somewhere centuries hence, might describe three American empires, not just one. First there is the inner empire, the continental U.S.A. with its Pacific and Caribbean satellites.
Then there is the outer empire, consisting of the regions that Americans occupied and rebuilt after World War II and placed under our military umbrella: basically, Western Europe and the Pacific Rim.
Finally, there is the American world empire, which exists spiritually wherever our commercial and cultural power reaches, and more practically in our patchwork of client states and military installations. In a way this third empire is our most remarkable achievement. But its vastness inevitably resists a fuller integration, a more direct kind of American control. …”
Ross Douthat is correct to distinguish between the different layers of the American Empire although I would argue that there are four layers of the empire.
The American Empire was created by Abraham Lincoln who transformed what had been a White Republic and a voluntary union of sovereign states which was dominated by the South into an Eastern-based consolidated despotism which sought to build up an imperial navy and emulate Great Britain’s liberal world empire. In between the War Between the States and World War II, the South and the West were basically resource colonies, captive markets and possessions of the industrialized North.
In the second phase of the American Empire, it expanded around British possessions into the banana republics of the Caribbean and Central America and began leapfrogging across the Pacific. We acquired Hawaii and Alaska. We took Puerto Rico, Cuba, the U.S. Virgin Islands, the Philippines, Guam and American Samoa. We opened up Japan and China. We created Panama. We occupied Haiti and sent troops into Nicaragua, Honduras, Mexico and the Dominican Republic which fell into our expanding sphere of influence. American imperialism was already hotly debated at the turn of the 20th century. Woodrow Wilson attempted to expand the American Empire into Western Europe after World War I, but the backlash at home killed American membership in the League of Nations and put that project on ice for a generation. There was also a backlash against American imperialism in Central America and for a time the United States shifted from Dollar Diplomacy to the Good Neighbor Policy.
In the third phase of the American Empire, we emerged as a mature empire and the major victor of World War II. We took control of Western Europe and the Pacific Rim. West Germany, Italy and Japan became American satellites. We inherited the British Empire and power in the Anglosphere shifted from London to New York City and Washington. NATO was created to entrench our rule. We created the global financial system which was pegged to the dollar which was originally pegged to gold. Great Britain was reduced to Airstrip One and became the junior partner and lapdog in the Anglo-American special relationship. We contested the rest of the world – Latin America, sub-Saharan Africa, the Middle East and North Africa and southern Asia – with the Soviet Union and the Eastern Bloc for the rest of the Cold War.
In the fourth phase of the American Empire, we won the Cold War and ever since have been trying with varying degrees of success to incorporate Russia and China and the old Eastern bloc countries and the Third World into the American Empire. This project outright failed in Russia and its immediate periphery. It succeeded in its Western satellites like Poland, Hungary and East Germany which are now part of the European Union. You could say it succeeded in the Baltic states and parts of Latin America, Africa and southern Asia. We created “Chimerica” which is both a success and a defeat. It has spectacularly failed in Afghanistan. The jury is still out on Iraq which regardless of the final outcome there wasn’t worth the expense. Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states are joined at the hip with the United States which is why we have such a poisonous relationship with Iran. Overall, the American Empire has expanded since the end of the Cold War while it has internally decayed and become less stable.
In the event the American Empire does collapse, the most likely scenario is that it gets knocked back on its ass to its second tier. The dollar ceases to the world’s major reserve currency. China becomes a true rival of the United States. Russia remains the junior partner of China. Europe and the Pacific Rim go their own way. India, Iran, Turkey and Saudi Arabia/Gulf states emerge as regional powers in Eurasia. Perhaps Brazil becomes a regional power in South America. Even in the worst case scenario, it is likely that the United States would retain much of its empire. Even today, Britain still has possessions like the Falkland Islands, Bermuda and various Caribbean islands. We would still dominate Mexico and Canada. The end of the American Empire really means no longer being able to dominate Eurasia which is more or less inevitable as we continue to move further away from World War II.