Pedro Gonzalez is correct.
“Neglected by Republicans and Democrats alike, vilified by the culture, and preyed upon by globalization, white working-class voters in 2016 cast their lot with the one candidate in a generation who remembered them, and thus became Donald Trump’s base—a constellation of blue, white, and pink collar laborers. This spark ignited what was supposed to be a revolution in party politics and carried Trump into the White House.
The truth about white “dysfunctional, downscale communities,” Kevin Williamson informed us in a March 2016 National Review article, “is that they deserve to die.” A year into Donald Trump’s presidency, an unrepentant Bill Kristol quipped that the “lazy” white working class should be replaced with immigrants. The mask was off what had been the prevailing attitude among establishment conservatives and Republicans until Trump. …
But something changed not long after Trump assumed control of the White House. In the aftermath of the 2020 runoff against Joe Biden, conservative pundits and Republicans appear relieved that Trump’s support among the white working class has slipped.
“The decided view internally was that white working class men lacked an alternative,” a senior White House official told American Greatness. “There was no need to develop policy that would improve the social or economic conditions in America’s industrial communities. They voted for Trump once, they’d do it again,” this official said of the campaign’s thinking. “From late 2017 foward, the goal was to make the Republican Party the vehicle for blacks and Latinos. They wanted to build off of white working class men and discard them, not build an electoral coalition around them.”
The white working-class “is the ‘forgotten man’ demographic,” A Republican close to the campaign told American Greatness. “The focus on left-wing identity politics has already robbed these people of a home in the Democratic Party, but now also the GOP,” the source reported, referring to the campaign’s pandering. “In the final critical week, instead of holding events focusing on mobilizing cops, miners, steel workers, the campaign focused on PRIDE events in blue-collar areas under Richard Grenell and Jared Kushner, which actually alienates many of these people.” …”
2017 was the decisive year that Donald Trump’s public image changed.
In the span of a year, Donald Trump went from being perceived as a nationalist and moderate and populist on economics – the sweet spot that got him elected president – to being seen as to the Right of Ronald Reagan on Reaganomics. The reason Trump was elected president is because it seemed at the time in the Center during the 2016 election that he WAS NOT a True Conservative. He was going to move the country beyond political correctness and what is often called “Zombie Reaganism.”
But then … something seemed to change. As soon as the election was over, Anthony Scaramucci showed up on the Trump transition team, which was a telltale sign that Trump’s base was about to get screwed. Gary Cohn, the CEO of Goldman Sachs, was hired to head the National Economic Council. Donald Trump nominated Andrew Puzder, the CEO of Hardee’s, to be his Labor Secretary (fortunately, we dodged that bullet). Jared Kushner began to assume control of the White House. Reince Preibus began filling the White House with Never Trumpers. Donald Trump began to spend his political capital on Paul Ryan’s Better Way agenda: the tax cuts, the health care plan and deregulation. Time and again, “building the wall” was kicked down the road and the infrastructure plan went nowhere. The Trump presidency became George W. Bush’s third term without a major war and gradually “owning the libs” began passing for populism.
It must have been a bitter pill to swallow.
It certainly was from my perspective. I share the values, beliefs and views of the populist swing voters who elected Trump as their president. Even before Trump was sworn into office, I was sounding the alarm. Winning the election had been the easy part. The hard part was that no one was listening to us anymore and Jared Kushner was in Donald Trump’s ear and giving him terrible advice.
Do you remember how much fun we had in the 2016 campaign?
Back in 2016, the rightwing populist internet was on fire for Donald Trump. His actual base which he neglected and took for granted was rightwing White male Indies and shitposters and disaffected, blue collar White men, not Ted Cruz cucks. These White men who went missing in 2020 are what Pew calls the Hard Pressed Skeptics or Disaffected. The Left understood this which is why we were systematically removed from the internet. We had to fight the GOP and mainstream conservatism for a year to win Trump the Republican nomination. Unfortunately, Donald Trump was surrounded by these people and domesticated by them after becoming president. Jared told him things like he had to win -1% of the black vote in North Carolina and +0% of the black vote in the Pennsylvania to be reelected.
“The contradictions between how Trump won and how he governed and campaigned suggests perhaps the campaign did actually adopt this cynical strategy.”
IT WAS A DISASTER.
There was no reason to believe that the Hard Pressed Skeptics who are cynical, Independent swing voters and non-traditional voters whose whole worldview is based on their belief that the system is rigged … would vote “straight R” and be there no matter what for Trump in 2020. They ghosted on him when he delivered business as usual which brought the whole campaign tumbling down. The fever dream of millions of based blacks voting for Trump consumed the campaign. He offered to give them $500 billion dollars and THEY STILL wouldn’t vote for him!
“Cohn’s gift to Trump’s base was a zero percent tax rate on many profits generated by corporate offshoring, which some have argued incentivized the practice. Roughly 1,800 factories between 2016 and 2018 and 740,000 manufacturing jobs since February 2020 sailed overseas. Naturally, Cohn was among the first to congratulate Joe Biden this past week.
The promise of law and order that appealed to these voters gave way to criminal justice reform. White House advisors Brooke Rollins, Ja’Ron Smith, and Jared Kushner, spurred along by lobbying efforts of Charles Koch and George Soros, pushed the First Step Act as the crown jewel of 2018, surpassing infrastructure investment as a priority. That bill ultimately released thousands of dangerous criminals.
When rioting erupted across the country over the summer, that same trio urged Trump to sit on his hands. They said that stopping the riots would make him look racist in the eyes of an unproductive criminal class. Instead, Kushner invited rapper Ice Cube to the White House, soliciting his input for what became the “Platinum Plan.” The rapper, not exactly known for his love of police, asked Kushner for a $500 billion capital infusion exclusively for blacks. He got his wish, with the added promise of more criminal justice reform in the “Second Step Act.” …”
Steve Bannon thought this was a brilliant move.
He was disappointed Trump hadn’t condemned ethnonationalism enough in the debate with Joe Biden. Bannon inexplicably dismantled his own coalition that had won Trump the White House.
In the final stretch of the election, Trump was touting BLEXIT and the Platinum Plan. He disavowed the Proud Boys on Hannity. He rolled out endorsements from Lil Wayne and Lil Pump/Pimp. He put out a video in which he boasted about disavowing “white supremacy” 38 times. After doing nothing for years about Big Tech censorship, Trump’s former supporters watched Twitter censor the shit out of him. They had voted for a strong man to restore law and order in 2016 … and what they got was Blumpf.
Chuck Jones is correct:
“A lot of people, I don’t think, are voting for Biden, they’re just voting against Trump,” said Chuck Jones, former president of United Steelworkers Local 1999 in Indianapolis, which represents workers at Carrier and Rexnord. In an interview with a labor magazine, Jones said Trump’s base rallied to him in 2016 because “he was on a roll” with his rhetoric about the working-class, about how they had been abandoned. “He said,” Jones recalls, “‘vote for me; what do you stand to lose?’” That message resonated—until Trump began to govern. …”
Everything seemed good until the Blumpf presidency began.
The message coming out of the Trump presidency on our end was DOW 30,000, BLEXIT and the Platinum Plan, JEXODUS, the lowest black, Hispanic, Asian, LGBT, female unemployment in history. Donald Trump is the gayest president ever who delivered the biggest tax cuts ever and is fighting to legalize homosexuality in Botswana. Joe Biden supported the 1994 crime bill and called black criminals superpredators. Joe Biden supported the Defense of Marriage Act of Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell. It was a running joke in our corner of the internet that the Team Trump Twitter account was the most effective surrogate for Joe Biden.
In the debate with Joe Biden, Donald Trump boasted about he was the one who had let the superpredators out of jail when no one else could get it done. Presumably, he was coached by Kushner to hammer away at this line along with Jack Kemp’s opportunity zones. It was supposed to be a game changer. He also tweeted “Law & Order” like 50 times while doing nothing to stop the riots.
“Losing a significant portion of the college-educated white vote is devastating to any Republican candidate’s presidential prospects,” political consultant Ryan Girdusky told me on the eve of the election. “Doing marginally better and increasing turnout among white working class is more likely to give Republicans wins in the Rust Belt, the northeast, and even parts of the sunbelt than increasing the black, Hispanic, or Asian vote by 5-10 percent.”
Girdusky appears to have been on the mark. …
“The percentage of white working class men voting Democratic increased from 23% in 2016 to 28% in 2020, while among white working class women, support for Democrats increased from 34% to 36%,” Joan C. Williams wrote in the Harvard Business Review. “These voters played a key role in delivering victories for Biden in the Rust Belt states where Clinton lost the presidency in 2016.” If the numbers hold up under scrutiny, two-thirds of the Michigan counties that swung toward Trump in 2016 turned Left in 2020. …
A comparison of the comprehensive Fox News Voter Analysis, conducted in partnership with the Associated Press, and data from CNN’s 2016 exit polls and the Pew Research Center sketches the national picture.
Trump scored roughly 64 percent of non-college whites in 2016, compared to 62 percent in 2020. Among non-college white men, the gap is even more profound: 71 percent in 2016 versus 64 percent in 2020. By contrast, the same data show Trump won between 6 percent and 8 percent of black voters in 2016 and 8 percent in 2020. After the First Step Act, the Platinum Plan, a soft touch on riots, and a Republican National Convention heavily focused on courting black voters, Trump improved his share of the black vote by just 2 to 4 percentage points. Trump improved with Latinos by 7 percentage points, though they constituted a smaller share of the overall electorate compared to 2016. “
Ryan Girdusky was correct.
Pedro Gonzalez is correct on this.
If their view had prevailed inside the White House and Trump’s 2020 campaign, then Trump would have easily finished off Joe Biden and perhaps even expanded his map into states like Maine and Minnesota. Instead, God Emperor Donald Trump became Blumpf with White Indies.
As Black Lives Matter and Antifa burned Washington in the background, Blumpf as Nero impotently tweeted “Law and Order” from his bunker under the White House. The man who called himself the King of Israel and the Moshiach was publicly dumped by Bibi Netanyahu on Twitter. The Trump Heights in Israel is already an abandoned wreck. It is all because Donald Trump’s team … CHOSE TO LOSE.
Note: The dying White electorate became whiter in 2020 over 2016 in most of the swing states because turnout was so high. Did any of Trump’s generals ever realize this?