Michael Osterholm: COVID-19 Is “Far From Over”

Reading between the lines here:

1.) The lockdowns were too little, too late to suppress the virus.

2.) The lockdowns have only postponed the inevitable.

3.) There is no chance that a vaccine will be available anytime soon and the people freaking out about that are just dumb. A vaccine is happy talk.

4.) We’re going to herd immunity with this virus which means given the IFR that the eventual death toll will be something around the Imperial College estimate.

USA Today:

“A high-profile infectious disease researcher warns COVID-19 is in the early stages of attacking the world, which makes it difficult to relax stay-at-home orders without putting most Americans at risk.

Dr. Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy at the University of Minnesota, said the initial wave of outbreaks in cities such as New York City, where one in five people have been infected, represent a fraction of the illness and death yet to come.

“This damn virus is going to keep going until it infects everybody it possibly can,” Osterholm said Monday during a meeting with the USA TODAY Editorial Board. “It surely won’t slow down until it hits 60 to 70%” of the population, the number that would create herd immunity and halt the spread of the virus. …

“It’s the big peak that’s really going to do us in,” he said. “As much pain, suffering, death and economic disruption we’ve had, there’s been 5 to 20% of the people infected, … That’s a long ways to get to 60 to 70%.” …

“We all have to confront the fact there’s not a magic bullet, short of a vaccine, that’s going to make this go away,” he said.  “We’re going to be living with it. And we’re not having that discussion at all.” “

USA Today:

Q. How bad is this outbreak?

A. Sixty days ago, COVID-19 was not even in the top 100 causes of death in this country. Within six weeks it was the No. 1 cause of death. That hasn’t happened since (the) 1918 (flu pandemic).

Q. The United States has 4% of the world’s population but has 28% of the recorded deaths from the coronavirus. Why is that?

A. Any number like that is artificial at best. If you had to add it up globally, we still play a very prominent role in the number of deaths that have occurred. But at the same time, I would say that we’re not any different than many areas of the world where there are lots of cases that are going uncounted, both deaths and regular cases. …”

For the record, I have a hard time believing this myself. I won’t believe it until I see it. It is hard to imagine that the eventual death toll from this will be 1.8 to 2.2 million. To put this in perspective, 1,264,000 American soldiers have died in all the wars in American history combined.

Dr. Mike has been saying it was coming for years. He wrote a book about it. This is an interview he did with Oprah about the future pandemic in 2006:

He was interviewed by Joe Rogan in early March:

Here is a lecture about his book from 2017:

Tucker listens to Dr. Alex Jones and Dr. Andrew “Mountain Dew” Anglin:

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15 Comments

  1. Countries that took the threat seriously will need to ask the USA to pay for their negligence. Because the USA did not take it seriously, New Zealand, China, Vietnam and others who suppressed the virus will be forced to put in the extra effort of maintaining vigilance to prevent becoming reinfected by Americans, in the end paying the price for American stupidity.

    • While the US didn’t close airports I do feel that NYC ought to have been srptrict about allowing folks to flee into other states.

      • We squandered the last 6 weeks by not doing the shutdown properly and now the economic consequences are so bad we have to get something moving again. Rule 1 in epidemics is stop all new inbound infections and that was never taken seriously by really anyone including the Democrat Governors along with Trump and Minuchin. I knew the US was too soft and even had Trump wanted would have been condemned by both the liberal press, and selfish mainstream populace had all international travel into the US been shut down at the end of January when it appeared something SARS-like had gotten loose in China again. When it broke out in the Puget Sound and NYC at the end of February domestic travel really needed to be restricted. Right now we really need to come up with Zones where certian virus conditions exist and limit travel between them. Basically if you are not a commercial trucker, health care worker, or government official. You stay in your zone. This way it can burn out in hot spots while the unaffected places can partially open up with necessary precautions. Problem is it seems that the tea party types are all up in arms about simply wearing a mask to go to Walmart etc. I saw this first hand in Southern Illinois where a woman (sort of looked like an Aileen Wournos type rural middle aged white) announced no way were they going to make her wear a mask when walking into the Walmart in Benton Illinois. I also saw a older 50s some white guy announce to the clerks at a gas station in Salem Illinois that he “refuses to wear a mask” and went to Walmart and apparently nobody did anything about it. These counties down there were pretty much unaffected, but with this attitude they won’t stay that way. It also has crept into the nursing homes in rural central and southern Illinois where there aren’t really any major community spread. I think it’s largely black youth ignoring all the rules and partying bringing it home to their families where middle aged black women are a major component in the medical assistant industry taking care of the old folks. The I-57 Amtrack crime corridor of project dwellers exiled by Rahm causes frequent family travel from the infected ‘hood in Chicago to the small cheap communities where some of the welfare queens resettled because their government check goes a lot farther in these places.

  2. Thanks for posting this information!

    Is it to late to quarantine New York, New Jersey and Connecticut, before they continue to infect the rest of the country?

  3. Two million will die in the U.S. and millions more will be permanently disabled, is what I have been predicting. That much is inevitable, but it is NOT necessary to be one of the 70 to 80% who will be infected.

  4. All the more reasons to wear masks. If getting the virus is inevitable, get the smallest viral load possible, giving your body the maximum amount of time to develop the strongest defense it can.

    • The masks don’t work, dude! Size of Corona particles are smaller than the best mask you can get. The pics over at Barnhardt.biz are hysterical. Grown men wearing women’s panty liners as a ‘mask’ against Corona. It’s total BS.

  5. “For the record, I have a hard time believing this myself. I won’t believe it until I see it. It is hard to imagine that the eventual death toll from this will be 1.8 to 2.2 million. To put this in perspective, 1,264,000 American soldiers have died in all the wars in American history combined.”

    Oh come on Hunter, most of those soldiers would have died from pre-existing conditions in 50 years or so. There’s no reason to shut down my favorite Mexican restaurants over a nothingburger like the flu, but Chyna must pay!!!

    • China isn’t paying nothing seeing how we are in a trillion dollar debt to them, we’ll be lucky if we ever hear these bastards say sorry for their hands in releasing the wuflu.

      Still can’t get a photo of ramz drinking a corona beer with a big smile on his dumb smug boomer face out of my mind its hilarious tho lol

  6. “COVID-19 Is “Far From Over””

    It takes neither special insight nor a great leap of faith to say this.

    No, we’ve had the flu, and other very serious malaises, in our midst since the beginning of time, so we know that ‘Covid-19 is far from over’.

    Life being perilous is far from over. We got that, Mr. Osterholm, we really do.

    Maybe, on the other hand, it’s just occurred to you.

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