Lets assume the following.
1.) The IFR of COVID-19 is 1%.
2.) No one has immunity to the virus.
3.) There is no effective vaccine or treatment.
4.) 70% of the population has to be infected to reach herd immunity.
5.) Most people who have the virus are asymptomatic.
6.) The lockdowns have worked and suppressed the virus.
7.) The vast majority of the people who die will be over 60 years old or have comorbidities like obesity, diabetes, hypertension, etc.
How many people would we expect to die from the virus in Stockholm County, Sweden?
2,344,000 (population) x 70% (herd immunity threshold) x 1% (IFR) = 16,408 predicted deaths.
Current COVID-19 deaths in Stockholm County, Sweden: 1,406
Why not apply the same thought experiment to the United States?
328.2 million (population) x 70% (herd immunity threshold) x 1% (IFR) = 2,297,400 predicted deaths.