I vividly recall witnessing this in Wuhan in January.
The first paragraph of this article is all that I needed to know to make up my mind about the gravity of the situation. There is no way China would have locked down 780 million people to stop the flu. Nothing that has happened since then like 62,675 American deaths has convinced me otherwise.
“On January 23, the Chinese government initiated a draconian quarantine of the city of Wuhan in order to stop the spread of SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus that only recently began infecting human beings. The army surrounded the city of 10 million. Soon thereafter, doors of some apartment buildings in the city were welded shut.
Not to worry, some voices in the media reassured Americans. “Get a Grippe, America. The Flu Is a Much Bigger Threat than Coronavirus, for Now,” read the headline of a February 1 Washington Post story. “Don’t Worry about the Coronavirus. Worry about the Flu,” BuzzFeed News declared on January 28.
Although President Trump acted on January 31 to sharply curtail the number of people entering the United States from China, he suggested as late as March 9 — even as Italy was hours away from initiating a national lockdown — that the threat of the coronavirus was no greater than that of the flu. By the middle of March, of course, the president had changed his mind. “It’s not the flu,” he said at a March 31 press conference. “It’s vicious.” He was right then. …
The coronavirus has already killed more than 0.1 percent of the entire population of the state of New York. That may seem like a small percentage. But imagine the entire country getting hit as badly as New York State: 0.1 percent of the U.S. population is 330,000 people. “
8,399,000 x 0.1% = 8,399
New York is reporting 23,780 deaths. Even if the entire population of New York were infected by the virus, it still wouldn’t have the CFR (0.1%) of the ordinary flu. We’re being sold a bunch of bullshit. It is far worse than both the flu and what the models are suggesting.
If the IFR of COVID-19 is 0.8% and it infected everyone in the state, it would kill 67,182 people there. We’re already a third of the way to that number with 237,654 active cases in New York state.
“The numbers that have anchored a lot of the discussion so far — such as that the flu has a fatality rate of 0.1 percent and kills 60,000 or so in a bad season — are not as firmly established as one would hope.
As McCormack notes, drawing on an earlier piece from Justin Fox, the 0.1 percent figure does not account for asymptomatic infections, so it can’t be compared with COVID-19 numbers that do. The adjusted number for the flu is probably somewhere around 0.04 percent. …”
The CFR of the flu is 0.1%.
The IFR of the flu is 0.04%.
“The 25,000 to 69,000 numbers that Trump cited do not represent counted flu deaths per year; they are estimates that the CDC produces by multiplying the number of flu death counts reported by various coefficients produced through complicated algorithms. . . .
In the last six flu seasons, the CDC’s reported number of actual confirmed flu deaths — that is, counting flu deaths the way we are currently counting deaths from the coronavirus — has ranged from 3,448 to 15,620, . . . far lower than the numbers commonly repeated by public officials and even public health experts. . . . In the fine print, the CDC’s flu numbers also include pneumonia deaths. …”
Isn’t this interesting?
The real conspiracy here is the FLU HOAX.
The flu truthers hold as gospel that the flu kills tens of thousands of people a year, but these numbers are estimates, not confirmed deaths. They are not people in body bags. Confirmed flu deaths range from 3,488 to 15,620. There are currently more dead people in New York City alone.
“The novel coronavirus has already claimed the lives of more than 61,000 Americans. But experts fear that number could be far higher at this point in the outbreak — perhaps by tens of thousands — once the pandemic subsides enough for officials to go back and make a true reckoning of the dead. …
Left out of the tally are people who died without being tested and those who died at home or some other non-healthcare facilities before they could seek medical care.
“It is an extraordinary challenge,” said Dr. Sally Aiken, president of the National Association of Medical Examiners. “There just isn’t really the infrastructure.” …
While the U.S. is not currently counting nursing home deaths nationally, it’s estimated that thousands have died from or with COVID-19 complications in these facilities across the U.S. Last week ABC News reported that based on the reporting of 28 states, the death toll in long-term care facilities has already surged past 10,000 …”
Unlike the FLU HOAX where estimates are statistical extrapolations, the current COVID-19 death toll only includes presumed positive deaths from New York City and EVEN THAT NUMBER doesn’t account for EXCESS DEATHS. The current official national death toll DOESN’T INCLUDE nursing homes, deaths at homes, presumed positive deaths outside of New York City, excess deaths nationwide. It is overwhelmingly people who have died only in hospitals from COVID-19 with a confirmed positive test result. Flu truthers believe estimates of flu deaths are entirely real, but COVID-19 deaths are an elaborate conspiracy.