#NEW National General Election:— Political Polls (@PpollingNumbers) December 17, 2019
Trump 44 (+3)
Trump 44 (+5)
Trump 45 (+8)
Trump 43 (+9)
Trump 43 (+10)
Suffolk University/USA Today Poll https://t.co/UMEwcYkoEu
Tucker Carlson on Lesson from UK Election:— The Columbia Bugle ?? (@ColumbiaBugle) December 17, 2019
"The Middle Class is Culturally Conservative & Economically Populist…A politician who bothered to learn that, who cared enough to represent their views would be elected in a landslide in America, as in Great Britain." #AmericaFirst pic.twitter.com/sCrZWmrdpP
I’m not surprised.
I’ve been sensing a shift in momentum ever since the Democratic debates started and this impeachment nonsense began this fall. It has been a double victory for Trump.
“SAGINAW, Mich. — Some swing voters here who voted for Barack Obama and then Donald Trump are firmly in Trump’s camp now — and they’re sick of impeachment.
Why it matters: The two-plus hour conversation revealed major warning signs for the Democratic Party in a crucial swing county that will be a pivotal area to win in 2020.
This was the biggest takeaway from our Engagious/FPG focus group last week, which included 10 voters who flipped from Obama in 2012 to Trump in 2016.
While a focus group is not a statistically significant sample like a poll, these responses show how some voters are thinking and talking about the 2020 election in crucial counties. …”
The average person doesn’t understand why the Russia conspiracy, the Ukraine conspiracy and now impeachment has dominated the news cycle for three years. What does any of that have to do with their lives? What did Trump even do that rises to the level of impeachment?
Back in 2016, Trump was also presented as a dangerous radical by the media, but now it seems like the Democrats have become far more radicalized than the Republicans. Everyone knows that Trump will just sit there in the Oval Office and tweet and hold his patriotic rallies. The average normie is content to just have a patriot in office. Trump has told them that they are winning. These low-information voters have no interest in going into the details.
Even the low-information voters have heard about the Russia conspiracy, the Ukraine conspiracy and impeachment though. They all think it is bullshit. The media talks about nothing else 24/7/365. It is like the Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 that used to dominate CNN. They come across as being insanely anti-Trump and uninterested in presenting an alternative vision that resonates with these voters. If you caught any of the Democratic debates, you heard the Democrats want to give free healthcare to all illegal aliens, dissolve the border, welcome LGBTQ asylum seekers like the Liberal Democrats in the UK, confiscate guns and criminalize free speech.
Most people are used to Trump now and don’t find him all that threatening. He delivered on tax cuts and judges for conservatives who said he would never do it. He talked a big game about “America First,” but really just went even harder on a pro-Israel agenda than George W. Bush. He didn’t make any big moves in Europe and put sanctions on Russia. He has imposed tariffs on China and people in the Rust Belt will give him credit for that. There is talk about pulling troops out of Afghanistan now. Trump’s policy victories have been deregulating banks and criminal justice reform. He was not nearly as disruptive and transformative as advertised.
The average person might have seen maybe 5% of what we have tracked on this website. It is very easy for such a voter to attribute Trump’s failure to pass big things on his agenda to RINOs and Democrat obstruction. This is especially true now that he is being impeached by the Democrats. It will be very easy for Trump to demonize the Democrats and blame all his failures on them in 2020.