I agree with the basic thrust of this article.
It shies away though from the cultural side of the revolt against neoliberalism.
British and American politics tend to be closely in sync: Harry Truman and Clement Attlee are the beginning of postwar embedded liberalism which was dominant during the Thirty Glorious Years until the mid-1970s, LBJ and Harold Wilson represent embedded liberalism at high tide in the 1960s, Reagan and Thatcher began the era of neoliberalism in the 1980s, Clinton and Blair represent neoliberalism at high tide in the 1990s and now Johnson and Trump bookend the demise of neoliberalism and the beginning of the post-liberal era.
“Boris Johnson’s big election victory this week drove another nail into the coffin of the brand of conservative politics Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher first rode to power four decades ago.
As Mr. Johnson’s decisive win in a hotly contested national election illustrated, the conservative movement in the West now has become markedly more populist and nationalist, and appeals to a distinctly more working-class constituency. Fiscal restraint, once a cardinal tenet of conservatism, matters less; rewriting the rules that have governed the global economy matters more.
For now, that approach is working similarly on both sides of the Atlantic. Mr. Johnson prevailed by using a playbook similar to the one that delivered the White House to Mr. Trump three years ago.
“Populism is the future,” says Steve Bannon, a political strategist who helped engineer Mr. Trump’s 2016 victory. “Economic nationalism is the future.”
“BARLBOROUGH, England — They trudged through a stinging rain to polling stations, streams of people who once powered the left in Britain: ex-miners, supermarket clerks, retired schoolteachers, health aides.
But when they re-emerged, they had voted not for the Labour Party, the side that had shepherded them through decades of political upheaval, but instead for their old nemesis, the party long despised here for shutting down the mines and shrinking the British state: the Conservatives.
“I’m from a Labour background: the coal pits and fighting Maggie Thatcher and everything else,” said Dawn Ridsdale, 56, an unemployed sales agent, as she stood outside the converted barn in Barlborough where she cast her ballot. She had opposed Brexit, but now wanted someone with the ruthless streak of the prime minister who had closed the mines, Margaret Thatcher, to sort it out, once and for all. …”
“Class contempt of Victorian proportions is already being visited upon these good people, in fact. Enraged Corbynista Paul Mason is describing the election result as a ‘victory of the old over the young, racists over people of colour, selfishness over the planet’. These people seem blissfully unaware that it is such seething contempt for ordinary voters that turned so many people off the newly woke, post-working-class Labour party.
Key Corbynista Ash Sarkar wrote in the Guardian a couple of days ago:
‘It is a myth that Labour has lost the working class.’
That hasn’t aged well. Across the country the working classes have abandoned Labour, because Labour abandoned them. It sneered at their vote for Brexit; it looked down its nose at their cultural values; it called them racist and xenophobic for being critical of the European Union and concerned about mass immigration.
Labour embraced an agenda of identity politics over community values, EU neoliberalism over British patriotism and radical virtue-signalling over the ideals of family, work and togetherness. And its working-class base said no, no, no.
This is a warning to the entire political class. Do not take voters for granted. Do not insult them. Do not demean their democratic voice. Because, whatever you might say to the contrary, they have minds of their own, and they will soon make up their mind that you are a patronising git who may no longer represent their community.”
There are parallels on both sides of the Atlantic.
Trump was elected by disaffected White working class voters in the Rust Belt. The same people voted for BREXIT and just defected from the Labour Party en masse to the Conservatives. BREXIT was stymied for three years. Trump’s MAGA agenda has also been stymied for three years. Boris Johnson and the Conservatives will now have the power to push through Brexit. Johnson was weak until two days ago. Trump is a weak president who is being impeached. He hasn’t been able to get past the roadblocks thrown up by an entrenched neoliberal establishment. Not yet.
The challenges facing Trump and Johnson are the same: runaway immigration, rapidly changing demographics, “identity politics” becoming more salient, an unstable coalition of working class voters lorded over by a constipated oligarchy of wealthy donors and a lack of a vision and policies to move forward. Trump has been deferring to conservative elites and giving the donors what they want and that is rapidly catching up with him. In the UK, Labour was so awful that the rebellion of their base caught up with them before this same dynamic caught up with Johnson because the BREXIT and UKIP vote was separate from the Tories until the last election.
The next thirty years of Western history will be dominated by the National Question, changing demographics, the rise of China, the rise of AI and numerous other things. The fundamental issues are the same in all Western countries. The 2010s were the waning years of neoliberalism and a transition period. The next decade will be the beginning of the full blown crisis which will bring resolution to some of these issues. It is like watching a pot of water that is warm (2000s) and starting to boil (2010s) immediately before it boils over (2020s).
VDARE defines the National Question as being whether the U.S. (or any Western liberal democracy) can survive as a nation-state and as the political expression of a particular people. Cosmopolitanism is the notion that all human beings belong to a single community that is based on a shared morality. The bipartisan consensus of the “mainstream” under liberalism is cosmopolitanism. It holds that all European peoples have no legitimate claim to their nation-states and should be open to settlement, colonization and demographic replacement by all people because all European countries are based on nothing more than liberal values.