(1) 98 percent of Republican voters in the South Carolina Republican Primary were White.
(2) Ron Paul won 31 percent of voters 18 to 29, 22 percent of voters 30 to 39, 30 percent of voters 40 to 49, 11 percent of voters 50 to 64, and 7 percent of voters 65 years old and over. It is important to keep in mind these are all White voters.
(3) Newt Gingrich won 47 percent of voters over 65, 40 percent of voters 45 to 64, 37 percent of voters 30 to 44, and 28 percent of voters 18 to 29.
(4) Newt Gingrich won 48 percent of voters who “strongly support” the Tea Party and 42 percent of voters who “somewhat support” the Tea Party.
(5) 44 percent of Evangelical Christians voted for Newt Gingrich. 38 percent of voters who are not Evangelicals voted for Romney.
(6) 48 percent of voters who believe that abortion should always be illegal voted for Newt Gingrich. 51 percent of voters who consider abortion the most important issue voted for Rick Santorum.
(7) 51 percent of voters who wanted a candidate who can “Beat Obama” voted for Newt Gingrich.
(8) 46 percent of voters who said that their religion “mattered a great deal” chose Newt Gingrich.
(9) 23 percent of Ron Paul voters were Independents. 10 percent of Ron Paul voters were Republicans.
Ron Paul won 13 percent of the vote in the South Carolina Republican Primary. He won 3.62 percent of the vote in 2008. In Iowa, Ron Paul increased his share of the vote from 9.93 percent to 21.45 percent. In New Hampshire, he increased his percentage of the vote from 7.8 percent to 22.91 percent.
The exit polls again show that Ron Paul isn’t winning traditional Republican primary voters over the age of 44. He is winning young people and Independents who are growing shares of the electorate. This is why he has improved so significantly upon his 2008 performance in all three primary states.
Ron Paul keeps losing these political battles because Baby Boomers refuse to vote for him, but institutions like “Campaign for Liberty” are winning the demographic war. They are changing the nature of the Republican electorate by winning over young people. This is a subject worth considerable reflection as we move forward through the primary process.
Update: Oy vey, Kevin Levin is unhappy with Ron Paul’s defense of the South. He’s right that each new generation renegotiates its relationship with the past. He’s wrong when he assumes that Gen X’ers and Millennials are embracing the Baby Boomer assumptions about the past. The White electorate is rapidly consolidating against the progressive champions of the Civil Rights Movement.
Note: It is also clear that most of the Newt Gingrich voters were people who were simply jumping on the bandwagon in the final days of the campaign. They were people who wanted to vote for the winner. This will undoubtedly be a major factor in the years ahead as the composition of the electorate shifts even further away from the Christian Zionists.
The success of the Ron Paul presidential campaign sheds fresh light upon the old debate between “mainstreamers” and “vanguardists” that roiled this website almost two years ago. Ron Paul is successfully “mainstreaming” his libertarian ideas by participating in the Republican primaries, which are effectively White primaries in all the decisive states, but his “vanguard” of cultural institutions like “Campaign for Liberty” and “Young Americans for Liberty” are clearing the roadblocks for him by changing the minds of young people.
It is only in the White Nationalist movement where the “vanguardists” are ideologically opposed to the “mainstreamers.” There are other examples of this that come to mind like the abolitionist movement and its involvement with the Republican Primary. The cause of abolition triumphed when it ceased to be a fringe cause of pacifists who rejected the political process.