The “accelerationists” were right.
If you wanted to change public opinion or “metapolitics,” worse was better.
“Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas on Tuesday said that the U.S. is on track to encounter more migrants than it has in the last 20 years, as he defended the administration’s approach to a border surge that he described as “difficult” – but again fell short of calling it a crisis.
“The situation at the southwest border is difficult,” Mayorkas said in a lengthy statement. “We are working around the clock to manage it and we will continue to do so. That is our job. We are making progress and we are executing on our plan. It will take time and we will not waver in our commitment to succeed.” …”
Here is the reality of the situation on the border:
- Since Joe was elected president, we have seen an explosion in racial consciousness among Republican voters, especially among Trump voters
- We have seen in multiple public opinion polls that immigration is now the top issue of Republican voters
- We have seen the politics of immigration shifting in a restrictionist direction
- We have seen multiple public opinion polls which show that Joe is losing the argument on immigration
- We have seen multiple public opinion polls which show that “Latinx” voters do not rank immigration as a high priority
- We now have data that shows Trump won “Latinx” conservative voters in the 2020 election
- “Latinx” voters who live along the Mexican border are angry with Joe about the spiraling border crisis
- Republicans are united on immigration. Independents are also angry about immigration
- Democrats currently lack the votes to pass comprehensive immigration reform in the House
- The public continues to rank comprehensive immigration reform as a very low priority
- Joe’s blitzkrieg of executive orders when he came into office guns blazing on open borders is 100% responsible for creating this mounting crisis
Consider the following:
- In light of Joe’s weakness on immigration and the unity of Republican voters and the intensity of the sentiment about this issue, it is extremely unlikely that anything passes the Senate
- The fact that the situation on the border is hurting Democrats with “Latinx” voters makes it even more unlikely that an amnesty passes Congress because they are being already blamed for the rush on the border while Trump is getting credit for halting migration
- In order to retain control of Congress, Democrats have to turn in one of their best performances ever in the 2022 midterms
- Not only have Democrats repeated the very same mistake that led to the chain of events that gave them Trump, they have created a crisis that exceeds the 2014 migrant crisis in Obama’s second term
Will the Trump voters and Independents “punish” the Democrats again for losing control of the border as Adam Serwer worries about in The Atlantic or will they be satisfied with getting a one time $1,400 check with reduced eligibility from Joe Biden and remember that a year and a half from now?
The immigration crisis on the border is infuriating Trumpists and Independents and alienating “Latinx” Democrats and raising the salience of the issue which we know for a fact animates Republican voters and is a political winner for them. Joe’s announcement that he is the new LBJ is going to rile up the wealthy suburban swing voters. In addition to this, the Democrats will be defending Congress in 2022 in the middle of a brutal crime wave sweeping across inner cities and on the basis of being the wokest and most politically correct and cosmopolitan version of the Democratic Party that has ever existed and as a result with a much thinner majority to defend than, say, Bill Clinton or Barack Obama.