97% of the CPAC audience approves of Donald Trump.
68% of the CPAC audience thinks he should run again in 2024.
55% of the CPAC audience would vote for Trump in the 2024 primary.
Support for Donald Trump diminishes in the polls when you ask voters whether or not they would actually vote for him in 2024. That’s roughly the difference between people who like and approve of Trump, people who are ideologically Trumpists and the smaller number who are the hardcore Trumpers.
The difference between the second category and the third category is roughly similar to the difference between people like myself and Nick Fuentes, Andrew Anglin and QAnon. The Republican Party is divided between White Populists (70% of the party) and regular Republicans (30% of the party). “White Populists” are divided specifically on Donald Trump’s leadership and record as president.
Allow me to explain:
Yes, I oppose free trade and globalization, but Trump didn’t really change the status quo on that as president. While it is true he renegotiated NAFTA, he replaced it with USMCA. While it is true he imposed tariffs on China, this only reoriented supply chains toward other low wage Asian countries.
Yes, I oppose Big Tech censorship, political correctness, wokeness and cancel culture, but what did Donald Trump do about it as president except monitor the situation and make it worse?
Yes, I also strongly oppose endless foreign wars, but Trump only rearranged troops in the Middle East and his belligerent foreign policy escalated tensions with Iran and nearly led to a war.
Yes, I too am an economic populist, but Trump hired people like Gary Cohn and Larry Kudlow as his chief economic advisers and spent his political capital on a huge supply side tax cut that benefited Wall Street and Silicon Valley and was extremely unpopular and led to the loss of the House.
Yes, I am also opposed to legal and illegal immigration, but Trump said he wanted to INCREASE legal immigration at CPAC in 2019. He failed to deport a significant number of illegal aliens and his border policies were bandaids. He actually raised the caps on guest worker programs.
Yes, I too support law and order, but Trump failed to invoke the Insurrection Act as president and allowed Antifa and Black Lives Matter to riot with impunity for nearly six months. In addition, Trump’s DOJ prosecuted his own supporters and ruled there was no election fraud.
Yes, I too hate the RINOs and True Cons, but Trump endorsed virtually all of them and staffed his own administration with Never Trumpers while working to subvert people who ideologically agreed with him like Jeff Sessions. Trump never made any effort to launch the careers of “Trumpists.”
Yes, I too support American heritage, so much so that I went to Charlottesville and other rallies in defense of historic monuments for years, but Donald Trump presided over the most devastating losses we have ever experienced on that front as mobs tore down monuments all over the country.
Finally, I never supported Trump’s three biggest mistakes in 2020: the way he made a fool out of himself handling COVID, the way he cultivated the conspiratards and plan trusters and his decision not to do anything about the BLM riots because he thought it was helping him politically. Trump thought that Jared Kushner was a brilliant political strategist and allowed him to run both the White House and his 2020 campaign which led to devastating losses with White Independent voters.
Josh Hawley is currently more interesting than Donald Trump. Hawley is endorsing a $15 minimum wage that only applies to large corporations, $1,400 stimulus checks and explicitly called at CPAC for a return to trust busting and wants to break up Big Tech and other corporate monopolies.
I’m continuing to monitor the situation. I am looking for someone who is going to offer better policies and messaging than Donald Trump. The first contender who comes out and explicitly says that actually we ought to defend White people for a change from all these hateful and malicious attacks by the media and the Democrats will turn heads and wildly shift their poll numbers. 64% of Trump voters now say their racial identity matters to them and 87% are upset about anti-White discrimination.
Note: There are two things that need to happen in the 2024 campaign. We need a candidate who is truly committed to destroying political correctness by breaking its norms (the biggest cultural grievance in the country) and someone who will pledge to redistribute wealth in this country from oligarchs to workers (the biggest economic grievance in the country). Whoever runs on that will obliterate Neoliberal Joe.