The polls were right in Minnesota, Iowa, Maine and New Hampshire:
In 2016, I spent months analyzing the polls. In 2020, I shifted my attention to history. How off were the polls? pic.twitter.com/UlyFn0ZdP2— Hunter Wallace (@MisterBlackPill) November 6, 2020
Blumpf underperformed his polls in Minnesota. The Des Moines Register poll nailed Iowa. The polls in Maine and New Hampshire were accurate and reflected the outcome there. They had Blumpf down 10 and 8 points.
From the AP VoteCast Survey:
In 2016, Trump won 24% of Jews.
After years of relentless pandering and so much winning for Israel that your head is still spinning, he won 30% of Jews. Jewish support for Hillary was 71% compared to 68% for Joe Biden.
Blumpf won more Protestants, more Mormons, more Jews and more Muslims. He won the same amount of Nones. He split Catholics 50 to 49 after winning them 52 to 45 in 2016.
7% of American voters thought “racism” was the most important issue facing the country. 41% said it was COVID-19. Joe Biden won 73% of voters who thought COVID was the most important issue.
There was a slight Trump-Biden shift.
The more important pickup for Biden were 2016 non-voters.
Trump won 81% of White evangelicals.
He won the same share of White evangelicals that he won in 2016. He delivered Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh and Amy Coney Barrett for them. Gorsuch delivered reading transgenderism into the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and John Roberts a big defeat on Louisiana’s abortion law.
White college educated voters shifted toward Biden.
More women voted than men in 2020.
Trump won men by a smaller share than in 2016.
Trump got 55% of the White vote.
Joe Biden got 43% of the White vote.
Hillary Clinton won only 37% of the White vote in 2016. Obama won 43% of the White vote in 2008 and 39% in 2012.
Blumpf got 59% of White men and 52% of White women in 2020 compared to 62% of White men and 52% of White women in 2016. Mitt Romney got 62% of White men and 56% of White women in 2012. It was his diminshed margin with the White vote that killed him.
Conclusion: Disillusioned White men defected to Joe Biden or stayed home.