Donald Trump thinks 90,000 people dying is a success. pic.twitter.com/R9cG2skMjL— Keith Edwards (@keithedwards) May 4, 2020
If we only end up losing 80,000 to 90,000 people to COVID-19, it will be a tremendous success. The virus could have burned through and killed 1.8 to 2.2 million on the way to herd immunity.
The population of New York City is 8,399,000. In order to reach herd immunity, 70% of New Yorkers would have to be infected with the virus. Assuming a 1% IFR, we would predict 58,793 deaths. New York City has reported a 21% seroprevalance rate and 18,706 deaths there. Makes you think.
Oh, and look at this:
New York City went into lockdown on March 22. New cases and deaths peaked 15 days later. Clearly, this is proof that lockdowns don’t work and the experts were all wrong!
Note: There is no reason to believe the fire will be doused here though like it was in China and New Zealand. It is highly unlikely that even Bill Gates will come up with a vaccine in time. It took four to five years to create the fastest vaccine in history and it was an easy one. Look at New York City where it got to 1/3 of the way to herd immunity in a month with a lockdown.