Early Returns: A bittersweet victory in Spain … the Catalan secessionist parties have won a majority in the regional elections, but it looks like the CiU will lose 12 seats in parliament:
“Nationalists in the Spanish region of Catalonia are set to win in regional elections, partial results show.
With more than 95% of the votes counted, the ruling CiU had 50 seats, short of an absolute majority. The separatist left-wing ERC had 21 seats.
Both are nationalists keen to hold a referendum on whether the region should break away from the rest of Spain.”
Update: Walter Russell Mead is claiming that the CiU lost seats, but the four secessionist parties combined won a huge majority, up to 95 of the 135 seats in Catalonia’s regional assembly:
“Exit polls from the regional elections in Catalonia show that pro-independence parties are winning a huge majority: up to 95 of the 135 seats in the regional assembly, according to analysis from the Financial Times. Worse, from Madrid’s point of view, the radical pro-independence forces are doing unexpectedly well. The next Catalan government will now be convinced that it has a mandate to hold a referendum on independence that Madrid says is illegal.
In a worst case scenario, the provincial authorities will attempt a referendum that the national government tries to block. It will be interesting in such a case to see whether the police obey local authorities or listen to Madrid. At the moment, no one knows what comes next; there is zero trust between Barcelona and Madrid right now . . .
Spain must now come to grips with an angry and increasingly ambitious Catalan national movement — even as the country attempts to calm foreign creditors and implement difficult economic reforms. It will be hard — it may be impossible — to get it all done. Failure will be much more consequential than anything that has happened or can happen in Greece; we are on the edge of our seats as we wait to see what comes next.”
Note: Catalonia is 12,399 square miles. Alabama alone is 52,419 square miles. In terms of population, there are 7.6 million Catalans to 4.8 million Alabamians. There are around 3.5 million White Alabamians.
The GDP of Catalonia is $314.4 billion. The GDP of Alabama is $174.4 billion. The GDP of Georgia is $403.1 billion. The GDP of North Carolina is $407.4 billion. The combined GDP of New England (Vermont, New Hampshire, Maine, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Massachusetts) is only $800 billion.
The GDP of Texas is $1.3 trillion. The GDP of the ex-Confederacy plus Kentucky, West Virginia, and Oklahoma is $4.7 trillion. Yet in this Union there are 12 senators from New England and 2 senators from Texas.
Catalonia is a mouse compared to Texas.