In the contrarian state of New Hampshire, which relishes thumbing its nose at Vermont and Massachusetts, Romney has pulled ahead of Obama in the latest ARG poll, 50 percent to 46 percent.
Note: Unless you count Pennsylvania, New Hampshire is the only Northeastern state that Romney has a chance of winning. He won big there in the Republican primary. This might become increasingly important because Ohio isn’t looking that great for Romney in November.
If Romney holds the South (Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia) and wins Colorado (he is ahead there), he can win the presidency without Ohio by winning in New Hampshire, Iowa, and Nevada. He’s also winning in Nevada.
The presidential race could be decided in Iowa, not Ohio. Joe Biden’s performance in the VP debate didn’t help Obama in Iowa either.