It is increasingly “solid red” depending on whether White Southerners are the majority or “solid blue” depending on whether blacks, Hispanics, and carpetbags are the majority:
Note: The House, Senate, and state legislatures in the South will certainly be more racially polarized after November.
The Democrats aren’t recovering from their Blue Dog losses in 2010 and will lose the next tier of vulnerable Blue Dog seats. North Carolina and Arkansas are the places to watch this year.
“ATLANTA (AP) — The “Solid South” was a political fact, benefiting Democrats for generations and then Republicans, with Bible Belt and racial politics ruling the day.
But demographic changes and recent election results reveal a more nuanced landscape now as the two major parties prepare for their national conventions. Republicans will convene Aug. 27 in Florida, well established as a melting-pot battleground state, to nominate Mitt Romney of Massachusetts. Democrats will toast President Barack Obama the following week in North Carolina, the perfect example of a Southern electorate not so easily pigeon-holed….”