The White Party

The West Virginia Senate race reflects changing attitudes within White America.

West Virginia

In Slate, David Weigel calls attention to the failure of mainstream conservative scribes like Ross Douthat and David Frum to predict the stunning revival of the Republican Party.

Douthat’s book “Grand New Party” advocated taking the “big government conservatism” of George W. Bush and Karl Rove and giving it coherence and sustainability.” Frum’s book “Comeback: How Conservatism That Can Win Again” argued for a “broad national coaltion” in which extremists would be “sidelined” by moderates.

Neither vision panned out.

Michael Steele’s “hip hop makeover” of the Republican Party, which included the laughable “What Up” blog and the multicultural redesign of GOP.com, was a dismal marketing failure with blacks. Similarly, Karl Rove and George W. Bush dreamed of an Anglo-Hispanic coalition that never materialized.

White Nationalists were equally mistaken about the trajectory of the Republican Party. The Far Right didn’t anticipate the Tea Party. Most White Nationalists assumed the GOP would continue its long muddled drift to the Left.

In hindsight, much of what is going on today was entirely predictable, and represents a continuation of long term trends. A few recent news items shed considerable light on what is really going on here.

Tea Leaves

1.) In The Los Angeles Times, a Gallup poll breaks down Barack Obama’s approval rating: 91% of blacks support him, 55% of Hispanics, and 36% of Whites. By region, 52% of Easterners, 45% of Midwesterners and Westerners, and 41% of Southerners.

Moral of the story: Obama has lost White voters in South, West, and Midwest and is only breaking even with them in the East.

2.) John Raese has climbed ahead of Joe Manchin in the West Virginia Senate race. The West Virginia GOP will be planting 2,500 yard signs that simply read “Obama Says ‘Vote Democrat” in this election cycle.

In West Virginia, Obama receives his third highest negative approval rating, a Jacksonian Democrat state full of working class Whites that Bill Clinton twice carried.

Moral of the story: Obama’s dismal unpopularity with Jacksonian Democrats in West Virginia is dragging down Joe Manchin who is a popular governor.

3.) In 2010, only 20% of Americans trust the government “to do the right thing all or most of the time.” After Watergate, the number was 36%. When Eisenhower was president, 76% of Americans trusted the government.

Moral of the story: The federal government has suffered a catastrophic collapse of legitimacy among someone. Who?

4.) In The New York Times, the growing ranks of Independent voters are disgusted by a general sense of malaise in America, not only by the terrible economy.

Moral of the story: The decline of legitimacy in established institutions like Congress and the mass media seems to have deeper causes.

5.) A recent Third Way study shows that liberals comprise only 20% of the electorate. Conservatives are 42% of the electorate. There has been a shift to the Right over the past several years that has come at the expense of liberals and moderates.

Moral of the story: Blacks, Jews, Hispanics, Asians, SWPLs, and homosexuals comprise most of the “liberal” category. The vast majority of Whites are “conservatives” and “moderates.” Obama’s liberal base is too small to make of the atrophy of White conservatives and moderates that are abandoning the Democratic Party.

6.) Now here’s the most revealing story of all:

Working class Whites account for 4 out of 10 voters. A new AP-GfK poll shows that this group now favors Republican candidates 58% to 36% – a 22% margin.

In 2008, working class White broke for Republican congressional candidates by 11% margin. In 2006, Republicans had a 9% edge.

Most of these working class Whites live in the North, Midwest, and Upper South where, as I have repeatedly argued (Jacksonian America, Midwestern Meltdown, Decline in the Dakotas), they are moving into the Republican Party and tipping the scales of power toward the energized conservative base.

Conclusion

The GOP establishment has done everything within its power to alienate White voters and reach out to non-White minorities. In spite of this, the Republican Party is slowly being transformed into the White Party. “Heartland America” is taking shape.

In Permanently Blue, I predicted this would happen. Democratic gains among non-Whites will be offset by much larger Republican gains among Whites. The White vote will consolidate over time. Polarization will eventually drive the “Blues” in the Republican Party into the Democratic Party; the “Reds” in the Democratic Party into the Republican Party.

White Americans will start thinking of themselves as “outsiders.” As non-Whites grow in numbers, they will become more assertive, and White racial consciousness will revive. The legitimacy of established institutions will continue to erode. This erosion will come exclusively from the White side of the electorate.

Two decades from now, America will likely be browner around the edges, teetering on the precipice of bankruptcy (it is really already there), and more racially polarized that it is today. By that time, the “WASP nest” in the Heartland will have transformed the GOP into the “White Party,” which will contend with the “Non-White Party” which will be the Democratic Party.

The David Frums and Ross Douthats of the world won’t see that one coming either.

About Hunter Wallace 9518 Articles
Founder and Editor-in-Chief of Occidental Dissent

8 Comments

  1. Obama beat Palin? Obama would get creamed against practically anyone if they held an election today. I wouldn’t be surprised if someone challenged him in the primary knowing a lot of white conservatives would crossover in the primaries just for the chance of trying to knock off The Magic Negro before he even made it on the November ballot. That almost happened in ’08, just the nation was asleep during the early primaries and somehow crappy joke candidates like McCain and The Magic Negro managed to get insurmountable leads.

  2. I’m just giving you a warning. Real rightwing voters will sit home on election day if for some strange reason this zionist princess gets the nomination.

  3. Don’t even think for a moment were going to be scared of another 4 years of Obama to vote for another status quo candidate.

  4. While it’s true that white tribalism will increase as whites become a minority in their own country, this newly rediscovered racial consciousness will wither on the vine unless we can gain some measure of media control. Since politics is the art of subtle propaganda, the side with the loudest voice always wins. This is assuming the current two party political duopoly will survive the gradual social upheaval.

    What I think is more likely to happen is that working class whites will abandon politics entirely. White voter turnout will eventually become indistinguishable from black voter turnout. At the same time, they will continue their migration from the cities and suburbs into whiter rural enclaves in search of a more peaceful, frugal and agrarian existence. The only people who will remain in the urban areas will be the whites who can afford to wall themselves off in expensive gated communities with plenty of security (think South Africa) and the ghettoized brown masses who thrive on government assistance. This is a much more likely scenario to me than an eventual blue collar Republican revolution because you can see it happening right now.

    It’s only a matter of time before the tea party bubble bursts. It will play out almost exactly like the Obama Hopenanny. Their guys get in, nothing changes, hope turns to despair. Admittedly, I’m rooting for this to happen. The last thing we need is a party of Ron Pauls with just enough racism mixed in to attract working class whites to their brand of libertarian economic poison.

  5. So a future of South African misery is preferable to a Ron Paul platform of taking on the Jewish elites, disbanding the Fed, ending the forever wars, scaling down the empire and returning to Constitutional government?

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